Reproduced with permission from Whiff of Cordite
AFTER THE HEINEKEN Cup double-headers in December, we thought that Ulster were virtually guaranteed a knock-out slot, Leinster were pretty much gone, and that Munster had a pretty decent shot at a best runners-up slot.
They had 11 points in the bag and had upcoming games against Scottish patsies Edinburgh and flouncing Parisians RM92 at home — both glaring try bonus opportunities.
And the try bonus point is most relevant — 19 points looks like it might not be enough, but 21 will almost certainly do it. They managed to get four tries at home to Embra, and looked threatening in Paris first time out. Sure, they didn’t come close to the whitewash against Sarries, but hey, it was Saturday Night Fever in Thomond — who wants tries when you can have penalties slotted between the posts through cold foggy air and the tears of the assembled press box in near-deathly silence?
Here’s a problem though – in the aforementioned early rounds, master orchestra conductor, curer of the lepers and Lion-designate Ronan O’Gara (© Conor George) was playing close-ish to the gainline and looking like he was buying into the Rob Penney Barbarimunster masterplan. In the Saracens double-header, he played a little bit further back — but needs must and the five points gained were what was required.
But since then, Rog has drifted further and further back to the point were he was almost 15m behind the gainline in the recent Cardiff workout.
Sure, his tactical kicking might have been as pinpoint as ever, but who cares when it’s exactly what the opposition want — Cardiff won their line-outs, kept the ball intelligently and won the match at their leisure.
How can Munster score tries if their opponents have the ball?
This followed an inability to get a try-scoring bonus point against Ulster’s 2.5th team – another occasion when O’Gara was nearly stepping on Felix Jones’ toes.
How can Munster expect to score four tries in two successive games without the ball, and with an outhalf who looks like he is no longer even going through the motions of playing the gameplan his coach wants him to? It’s not all O’Gara’s fault of course, but he has virtually full control over his position on the pitch, and he isn’t attacking the line.
Tough calls: Rob Penney. Pic: INPHO/Dan Sheridan
It’s far from a home run that Keatley is of the required quality to be the future of the 10 shirt at Munster, but that’s not necessarily the relevant question to be asking; the only important issue is whether Munster have a better chance of beating Edinburgh by four tries with Keatley or O’Gara at 10. This isn’t necessarily clear-cut, but Keatley is a quick, strong fly-half with a decent running game, as well as being a strong defender.
Against that, ROG is more experienced, a better place kicker and better kicker from hand. But with tries the requirement, it might be time to lean towards Keatley. Such a move would inevitably be met with a media scrum, and Penney is presumably aware of this.
But it’s time for tough calls.
What do you think?
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